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The world economy is changing fast — and two countries everyone is watching closely are India and China. For a long time, China has been known as the world’s factory and one of the fastest-growing economies. But now, its growth is starting to slow down. In 2025, China’s economy is expected to grow by just 4%.

On the other hand, India is growing much faster — with a growth rate of 6.2% expected in 2025. That’s a big difference.

India has a young population, strong tech growth, and rising local demand. All of this is helping its economy rise steadily. So the big question now is: Can India really catch up with China? And maybe even overtake it in the future?

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India vs China: A Tale of Two Growing Giants

When we look at the numbers for 2025, it’s easy to see a big difference between how fast India and China are growing.

According to the latest data:
India’s economy is expected to grow by 6.2% in 2025
China’s economy is expected to grow by only 4%

That means India is growing faster than China, even though China still has a bigger economy overall.

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Why India Has an Advantage

India has a younger population than China, with more than 50% of its people under 30[1]. A younger population means:

1. More people ready to work
2. More demand for goods and services
3. A strong, energetic workforce for future industries

China, in contrast, is facing an aging population crisis, which may slow down its productivity and increase healthcare and retirement costs over time.

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What’s Helping India Grow?
India’s recent progress is driven by multiple factors:
A fast-growing digital economy with over 800 million internet users[2].
Government investments in infrastructure and manufacturing[3].
Major companies shifting supply chains to India to reduce dependence on China[4].
According to OECD, A booming startup ecosystem, especially in fintech, edtech, and health tech.

What Is Slowing China Down?
Although China remains a powerful economy, its growth is slowing due to:
* An aging workforce[5].
* Decreasing exports due to global tensions and supply chain shifts[6].
* According to CNBC, A real estate crisis that is affecting banks and households.
* Less foreign investment compared to past decades[7].

Can India Really Overtake China?
In total GDP, China is still far ahead of India. But if India keeps growing faster, it will gradually close the gap over the next 10–20 years[8]. Many analysts believe India could become the third-largest economy by 2030. With consistent policy support, tech innovation, and global interest, India has a strong chance to reshape the world economy.

India’s economy is expected to grow by 6.2% in 2025, which is a little lower than earlier estimates of 6.5%, mainly due to global problems and trade tensions, says the IMF. Still, India’s growth is stronger than most other countries in the region, thanks to rising spending in rural areas. In comparison, growth in emerging Asian countries like the ASEAN group is falling and expected to be only 4.5% in 2025 and 4.6% in 2026.

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Last year, China’s economy grew by 5.0%, which matched the government’s goal. But new trade tariffs have started to slow things down. These tariffs reduced the benefits of strong growth at the end of 2024 and more government spending. As a result, the IMF has lowered China’s growth forecast for 2026 to 4.0%, down from 4.5%, mainly because of ongoing trade tensions and policy uncertainty.

India is no longer just an emerging country — it is becoming a key global player. With faster growth, a younger population, and growing foreign interest, it is possible that India could one day catch up or even overtake China economically.The journey won’t be easy. But the signs are clear — India is rising, and the world is watching closely.

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References

  1. United Nations (2024). World Population Prospects 2024. [online] United Nations. Available at: https://population.un.org/wpp/.
  2. Keelery, S. (2023). India – number of internet users 2023 | Statistic. [online] Statista. Available at: https://www.statista.com/statistics/255146/number-of-internet-users-in-india/.
  3. World Bank (2024). Global Economic Prospects. [online] World Bank. Available at: https://www.worldbank.org/en/publication/global-economic-prospects.
  4. Reuters. (n.d.). Latest India News | Today’s Top Stories. [online] Available at: https://www.reuters.com/world/india/.
  5. United Nations (2024). World Population Prospects 2024. [online] United Nations. Available at: https://population.un.org/wpp/.
  6. IMF (2024). World Economic Outlook. [online] International Monetary Fund. Available at: https://www.imf.org/en/publications/weo.
  7. Bloomberg.com. (2025). China Has Record Foreign Investment Outflow as $168 Billion Exit. [online] Available at: https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2025-02-14/china-has-record-foreign-investment-outflow-as-168-billion-exit.
  8. IMF (2024). World Economic Outlook, April 2024. [online] International Monetary Fund. Available at: https://www.imf.org/en/Publications/WEO/Issues/2024/04/16/world-economic-outlook-april-2024.
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Economy

India’s Top Exports and Imports in 2023: What the World Buys and Sells with India

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Excerpt: India’s trade footprint in the global market continues to evolve rapidly, driven by its strategic exports in energy, electronics, and IT services, while mineral fuels and high-tech goods dominate its import landscape. A deep dive into 2023 trade data reveals how India is positioning itself as both a critical manufacturing hub and a growing consumer economy.

India’s Global Trade in 2023: Goods and Services at a Glance

India’s engagement with global trade spans a diverse portfolio, from oil exports to digital services. In 2023, the country’s total merchandise exports reached $431.4 billion, while imports stood significantly higher at $672.1 billion, reflecting India’s expanding consumption base. On the services front, India’s dominance in the global IT sector remained evident, with total service exports worth $309.4 billion against imports of $176.8 billion.

Top Commodities Exported by India

India’s top ten exported goods reflect a blend of natural resources, high-value industrial products, and pharmaceuticals. Leading the list are:
  • Mineral fuels and oils – $89.3 billion (20.7%)
  • Precious stones and metals – $33.4 billion (7.7%)
  • Electrical machinery – $32.3 billion (7.5%)
  • Machinery and mechanical appliances – $29.3 billion (6.8%)
  • Pharmaceutical products – $21.3 billion (4.9%)
These exports position India as a key global supplier in energy, technology, and health sectors[9].

Top Goods Exported by India in 2023

India’s Major Imports: A Strong Energy Dependency

India’s reliance on global energy markets is evident, with mineral fuels and oils topping its imports at a staggering $220.6 billion, accounting for nearly one-third of total merchandise imports.Other notable import categories include:
  • Electrical machinery – $76.1 billion
  • Precious stones and metals – $72.7 billion
  • Machinery and mechanical appliances – $57.1 billion
  • Organic chemicals – $27.3 billion

Top Goods Imported by India in 2023

India’s Services Export Strength: Powered by IT and Business Services

In 2022, India exported over $309 billion worth of services, spearheaded by the booming IT and business services sectors. The country’s global leadership in software and back-office operations is underscored by:
  • Telecommunications, computer, and information services – $144.8 billion (46.8%)
  • Other business services – $74.9 billion (24.2%)
  • Transport and travel services – combined $58.9 billion (19%)

India’s Imported Services: Business and Logistics Take the Lead

Service imports into India, totaling $176.8 billion in 2022, were largely centered around professional services, global transport logistics, and tourism[10].Key imported services include:
  • Other business services – $57.3 billion (32.4%)
  • Transport – $43.5 billion (24.6%)
  • Travel – $25.9 billion (14.6%)

Top Services Imported by India in 2022

Trade Trends and Strategic Insights

India’s trade data reveal several underlying economic dynamics:
  • Energy security remains a critical concern, with high dependence on imported fossil fuels.
  • Export strength is shifting from traditional commodities to high-value services, particularly IT and pharmaceuticals.
  • India’s role in the global electronics and machinery supply chain is growing on both export and import fronts.
  • Inward tourism and logistics spending reflect India’s increasing global integration and rising middle-class consumption.

Conclusion: The Road Ahead for India’s Trade

India’s evolving trade profile highlights a maturing economy—one that is leveraging its digital strengths while tackling structural import dependencies, especially in energy. As India positions itself for greater self-reliance and global leadership, strategic trade policy and investment in key sectors like renewable energy, technology, and services will be vital.

References

  1. United Nations (2024). World Population Prospects 2024. [online] United Nations. Available at: https://population.un.org/wpp/.
  2. Keelery, S. (2023). India – number of internet users 2023 | Statistic. [online] Statista. Available at: https://www.statista.com/statistics/255146/number-of-internet-users-in-india/.
  3. World Bank (2024). Global Economic Prospects. [online] World Bank. Available at: https://www.worldbank.org/en/publication/global-economic-prospects.
  4. Reuters. (n.d.). Latest India News | Today’s Top Stories. [online] Available at: https://www.reuters.com/world/india/.
  5. United Nations (2024). World Population Prospects 2024. [online] United Nations. Available at: https://population.un.org/wpp/.
  6. IMF (2024). World Economic Outlook. [online] International Monetary Fund. Available at: https://www.imf.org/en/publications/weo.
  7. Bloomberg.com. (2025). China Has Record Foreign Investment Outflow as $168 Billion Exit. [online] Available at: https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2025-02-14/china-has-record-foreign-investment-outflow-as-168-billion-exit.
  8. IMF (2024). World Economic Outlook, April 2024. [online] International Monetary Fund. Available at: https://www.imf.org/en/Publications/WEO/Issues/2024/04/16/world-economic-outlook-april-2024.
  9. UN Comtrade. (2024). Available at: https://comtrade.un.org [Accessed 25 Jul. 2025].
  10. ITC Trade Map. (2024). Available at: https://www.trademap.org [Accessed 22 Jul. 2025].
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Economy

UK–India Trade Hits £42.6 Billion: Export Surge and Investment Trends in 2024

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Excerpt: The United Kingdom’s trade relationship with India has gained momentum, reaching £42.6 billion over the latest four quarters to Q4 2024. This article unpacks the latest figures on exports, imports, market share, foreign direct investment, and India’s broader economic trajectory, offering context on what these numbers mean for businesses and policymakers.

UK–India Trade Overview

In the four quarters ending Q4 2024, total UK–India trade stood at £42.6 billion, marking an 8.3% uptick (£3.3 billion) compared to the same period a year earlier [11]

  • Overall trade ranking: 11th among the UK’s global partners.
  • Exports: £17.1 billion (+5.8% or £945 million), ranking 12th in export destinations.
  • Imports: £25.5 billion (+10.1% or £2.3 billion), ranking 11th among import sources.

Goods vs Services: Export and Import Composition

India has become a vital market for both UK goods and services. Over the latest year:

  • Goods exports: £7.0 billion (41.1% of total goods exports), up 15.4% (£938 million).
  • Services exports: £10.1 billion (58.9% of total services exports), up marginally by 0.07% (£7 million).
  • Goods imports: £10.8 billion (42.3% of total goods imports), up 3.0% (£314 million).
  • Services imports: £14.7 billion (57.7% of total services imports), up 15.9% (£2.0 billion).

UK Market Share in India

The UK has expanded its footprint in India’s trade landscape in 2023, with market share rising across all categories [12]

UK Market Share in Indian Trade (2023)

Foreign Direct Investment Flows

Investment ties reflect a two-way flow:

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  • UK outward FDI stock in India: £17.4 billion at end‑2023, down 13.1% (£2.6 billion) from 2022.
  • UK inward FDI stock from India: £13.1 billion at end‑2023, up 28.5% (£2.9 billion).

This divergence underscores evolving investment strategies, with UK firms recalibrating their allocation even as Indian investors increase their UK presence [13]

India’s Economic Outlook

India’s robust growth trajectory is pivotal for future UK–India trade dynamics. The latest projections for India’s GDP show sustained expansion:

India GDP Growth and Per Capita Projections

India’s global GDP rank is moving up, from 5th place in 2023–2024 to an anticipated 4th by 2025, reflecting the country’s increasing economic heft [14]

Implications for UK Businesses

  • Diversify supply chains to capitalize on growing services demand in India.
  • Monitor FDI trends to leverage inbound and outbound investment opportunities.
  • Align with India’s growth sectors—notably technology and consumer services—to sustain export momentum.

Complete data sets underpinning these analyses are available from the respective statistical agencies.

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References

  1. United Nations (2024). World Population Prospects 2024. [online] United Nations. Available at: https://population.un.org/wpp/.
  2. Keelery, S. (2023). India – number of internet users 2023 | Statistic. [online] Statista. Available at: https://www.statista.com/statistics/255146/number-of-internet-users-in-india/.
  3. World Bank (2024). Global Economic Prospects. [online] World Bank. Available at: https://www.worldbank.org/en/publication/global-economic-prospects.
  4. Reuters. (n.d.). Latest India News | Today’s Top Stories. [online] Available at: https://www.reuters.com/world/india/.
  5. United Nations (2024). World Population Prospects 2024. [online] United Nations. Available at: https://population.un.org/wpp/.
  6. IMF (2024). World Economic Outlook. [online] International Monetary Fund. Available at: https://www.imf.org/en/publications/weo.
  7. Bloomberg.com. (2025). China Has Record Foreign Investment Outflow as $168 Billion Exit. [online] Available at: https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2025-02-14/china-has-record-foreign-investment-outflow-as-168-billion-exit.
  8. IMF (2024). World Economic Outlook, April 2024. [online] International Monetary Fund. Available at: https://www.imf.org/en/Publications/WEO/Issues/2024/04/16/world-economic-outlook-april-2024.
  9. UN Comtrade. (2024). Available at: https://comtrade.un.org [Accessed 25 Jul. 2025].
  10. ITC Trade Map. (2024). Available at: https://www.trademap.org [Accessed 22 Jul. 2025].
  11. ONS.gov.uk. (2025). UK Trade with India: Quarterly Statistics. Available at: https://www.ons.gov.uk/tradewithindia [Accessed 24 Jul. 2025].
  12. Department for International Trade. (2025). UK Market Share in India 2023. Available at: https://www.gov.uk/dit/marketshareindia [Accessed 25 Jul. 2025].
  13. UNCTAD. (2025). World Investment Report 2024. Available at: https://unctad.org/wir2024 [Accessed 24 Jul. 2025].
  14. IMF.org. (2025). World Economic Outlook. Available at: https://www.imf.org/weo-april2025 [Accessed 26 Jul. 2025].
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Demographics

Global Perception Summit: Who Ranked the Highest in 2024?

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Excerpt:Switzerland claims the top spot in the 2024 “Best Countries” ranking by public perception, while global economic giants and rising regional players vie for influence in a list shaped by both hard metrics and subjective sentiment.

Switzerland Reigns Supreme

In the U.S. News & World Report Best Countries survey for 2024, where over 17,000 respondents evaluated 87 nations across 73 attributes, Switzerland emerged as the clear favorite. Survey participants praised its robust business environment (#2), exceptional quality of life (#3), commitment to social purpose (#7), and strong cultural influence (#8). Economically, Switzerland ranks third in GDP per capita (US $105,000) and fourth in GNI per capita (US $95,070), underlining why it resonates so strongly on the world stage [15]

Economic Titans and Entrepreneurial Leaders

Despite not topping the list, Japan and the United States secured the second and third places, respectively, buoyed by their sizeable GDPs, innovation ecosystems, and globally recognized brands. Both nations feature in the top five for entrepreneurship, with the U.S. leading in agility and power. High investor confidence and large currency reserves help offset concerns over cost of living and income inequality, demonstrating that sheer economic heft still shapes public perceptions in the survey [16]

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Regional Shifts: Rising Powers in the Middle East and Asia

The Middle East and Asia have made notable gains, reflecting targeted investments in tourism, renewable energy, and cultural initiatives. The United Arab Emirates (17th), Qatar (25th), and Saudi Arabia (32nd) are redefining their global images beyond hydrocarbons. In Asia, South Korea (18th), Singapore (14th), and China (16th) leverage technological advances and manufacturing prowess to climb the ranks, signaling a more multipolar perception of excellence.

Global Continent Representation

How are the top 40 distributed by region? Below is a bar chart illustrating the count of best-ranked countries by continent.

The above bar chart illustrates the global continent representation among the top 40 best-ranked countries in the world. Europe leads with 17 countries, making it the most represented continent. Asia follows with 11 countries, while the Americas account for 8. Oceania and Africa each have 2 countries on the list. The chart highlights Europe’s strong global presence and shows a relatively balanced contribution from other continents, reflecting global diversity in top-performing nations.

Complete Top 40 List

The following table presents the complete dataset of the top 40 countries, as determined by the survey respondents. Rankings reflect public perception and must be understood alongside objective thresholds for GDP, tourism, and foreign direct investment inclusion [17]

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Top 40 Best Countries in 2024

Perception Breakdown by Region

The above donut chart illustrates the continent share of the top 40 best countries in the world. Europe leads with 42.5%, followed by Asia at 27.5% and the Americas at 20%. Oceania and Africa each contribute 5%. The data highlights Europe’s dominance in global rankings, with Asia also playing a significant role. The chart visually represents how the top 40 countries are distributed across continents, emphasizing regional strengths in global development, governance, and quality of life.

How the Rankings Are Calculated

Respondents rate each country on 73 attributes grouped into 10 categories (e.g., quality of life, power, entrepreneurship). Scores for each attribute are normalized to a 0–100 scale and averaged within categories. Participants also rank category importance, which determines weighting in the final score. Only countries meeting GDP, tourism, and FDI thresholds were eligible for inclusion.

Conclusion

While Switzerland’s blend of economic strength, social well‑being, and cultural vibrancy earned it the top spot, the prominence of traditional powerhouses and emerging players underscores a dynamic global landscape. As public perceptions evolve, so too will the notion of what makes a country truly “the best.”

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References

  1. United Nations (2024). World Population Prospects 2024. [online] United Nations. Available at: https://population.un.org/wpp/.
  2. Keelery, S. (2023). India – number of internet users 2023 | Statistic. [online] Statista. Available at: https://www.statista.com/statistics/255146/number-of-internet-users-in-india/.
  3. World Bank (2024). Global Economic Prospects. [online] World Bank. Available at: https://www.worldbank.org/en/publication/global-economic-prospects.
  4. Reuters. (n.d.). Latest India News | Today’s Top Stories. [online] Available at: https://www.reuters.com/world/india/.
  5. United Nations (2024). World Population Prospects 2024. [online] United Nations. Available at: https://population.un.org/wpp/.
  6. IMF (2024). World Economic Outlook. [online] International Monetary Fund. Available at: https://www.imf.org/en/publications/weo.
  7. Bloomberg.com. (2025). China Has Record Foreign Investment Outflow as $168 Billion Exit. [online] Available at: https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2025-02-14/china-has-record-foreign-investment-outflow-as-168-billion-exit.
  8. IMF (2024). World Economic Outlook, April 2024. [online] International Monetary Fund. Available at: https://www.imf.org/en/Publications/WEO/Issues/2024/04/16/world-economic-outlook-april-2024.
  9. UN Comtrade. (2024). Available at: https://comtrade.un.org [Accessed 25 Jul. 2025].
  10. ITC Trade Map. (2024). Available at: https://www.trademap.org [Accessed 22 Jul. 2025].
  11. ONS.gov.uk. (2025). UK Trade with India: Quarterly Statistics. Available at: https://www.ons.gov.uk/tradewithindia [Accessed 24 Jul. 2025].
  12. Department for International Trade. (2025). UK Market Share in India 2023. Available at: https://www.gov.uk/dit/marketshareindia [Accessed 25 Jul. 2025].
  13. UNCTAD. (2025). World Investment Report 2024. Available at: https://unctad.org/wir2024 [Accessed 24 Jul. 2025].
  14. IMF.org. (2025). World Economic Outlook. Available at: https://www.imf.org/weo-april2025 [Accessed 26 Jul. 2025].
  15. U.S. News & World Report. (2024). Best Countries Rankings. Available at: https://www.usnews.com/news/best-countries/rankings [Accessed 25 Jul. 2025].
  16. U.S. News & World Report. (2024). Best Countries Subrankings. Available at: https://www.usnews.com/news/best-countries/rankings [Accessed 25 Jul. 2025].
  17. VisualCapitalist.com. (2025). Ranked: 40 Best Countries in the World, According to People. Available at: https://www.visualcapitalist.com/ranked-40-best-countries-in-the-world-according-to-people/ [Accessed 24 Jul. 2025].
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